MOCKUP listings.rycolston.com page 2 of 2 (RYR-184 workstream c) REAL = queried from BQ todayILLUSTRATIVE = ramps as coverage grows
← ① Reconcile ② Outcomes — is the pricing program working?

Listing Outcomes — covered vs not

Does a listing that got a pricing read (SMB brief, pre-list memo) perform better than one that didn't? The scoreboard for the experiment — list vs recommendation, speed to contract, cuts, and deaths.

computed live from BigQuery on page load · no batch job, no refresh schedule, nothing to silently fail
Coverage illustrative
18 of 39
active listings with a pricing read · BRIEF 12 MEMO 6
ramps from ~0 as briefs/memos meet the market
Died without selling real
37%
68 of 183 resolved team listings since Feb 26 (58 cancelled · 9 expired · 1 withdrawn)
Sale vs recommendation n = 0 — gated
appears when ≥5 covered listings have closed; never a confident % on thin data
Days to contract real
29d median
8 closes since Jun 1 (range 7–265d) · covered-vs-not split unlocks with coverage

01 · Every resolved listing, one honest bar

183 team listings reached an outcome since tracking began (Feb 26). Sold or died — no middle bucket.

Closed · 115 (63%)
Died · 68 (37%)
Closed Cancelled / expired / withdrawn counts labeled on the marks — never color alone

02 · Covered vs not covered illustrative until coverage ramps

The core comparison, with one difference from the dashboard this recreates: cells stay gated until each cohort has enough resolved listings to mean something. An empty cell is honest; a confident % on n=2 is not.

CoveredNot covered
Median days to contractn = 2 — gated29d (n=8)
Under contract or soldn = 2 — gated12 of 107
Price cuts after listn = 2 — gated41%
Died without sellingn = 0 — gated37%
Cohort comparisons unlock at n ≥ 5 resolved per cohort — the SMB confidence-gate rule applied to the scoreboard itself.

03 · Wins — closed since Jun 1 real rows

Close-to-list is derived from our own snapshot history (original list price from the earliest extract), never the export's ratio column — which shipped a 9.2× artifact on a real row this week.

AddressAgentSoldClose / listDays to contractCovered
5216 Birch Grove LnLeilani Rosejos$405,000101.3%12dno — pre-program
2909 Sheridan LnBrad Ford$376,00094.2%11dno — pre-program
3604 Andrea StKasha Swanigan$132,50089.5%7dno — pre-program
404 Laurel Trl NPrecious Jefferson$336,00091.1%59dno — pre-program
1825 Yorkshire StVincent Adams$275,50091.9%45dno — pre-program
6408 Pine StDonovan Broadus$235,000derived†46dno — pre-program
2412 Miranda PlPaul Harding$390,00094.2%58dno — pre-program
905 Eagle DrApril Hemphill$275,00078.6%265dno — pre-program
† export ratio invalid on this row (9.2×) — the build derives it from the listing's own snapshot history. Covered chips populate as briefed/memo'd listings reach the market.

04 · Active portfolio — stalest first real rows 10-10 wired in

DOM is the relist-aware cumulative clock. Cut cadence flags the 14-day rule; showings pace flags the 10-10 Rule — the same benchmarks the Wednesday price-conversation audit enforces, on the same page as the listings.

AddressAgentPriceDOMLast cutShowings / 10d illustrativeFlags
709 Alden Dr · PrincetonPaul Harding$324,999278d24d ago breach3 · under paceRELIST — 195d prior stint
205 San Jacinto Ct · WaxahachieConnie Gates$279,999161d29d ago breach2 · under pace
4772 Kings Garden Pkwy · ArlingtonBrandon Plummer$574,000123d85d ago — breach4 · under pace
1109 Odlozil Ln · EnnisPaul Harding$264,999121d24d ago breach
822 Madrono Dr · PrincetonKasha Swanigan$327,000119dnever1 · under pace
10525 Yorkford Dr · DallasMarissa Tah$425,000113d4d ago11 · at pace
4112 Roberts St · GreenvilleLabeebah Thomas$219,00098d98d ago — breach5 · under pace
1508 Pleasant Knoll Trl · AubreyVincent Adams$425,00091d35d ago breach
All 8 rows are today's real stalest actives. 709 Alden's cumulative clock (278d, listed Apr 25) exposes a real relist the raw list date hides. Cut-cadence breach = no adjustment in 14+ days; showings source: MM Weekly Pricing Dash.

05 · The 68 that died — who pulled the plug attribution pending RYR-184

58 cancelled, 9 expired, 1 withdrawn — real counts. The Orchard-vs-third-party split lands with the RYR-184 delisted-attribution work (same ntreis_listing_changes investigation, one MR).

Orchard-initiated · est.
Third-party · est.
expired · 9
split illustrative until attribution ships — expired count is real
What this section adds over the HOU/NSH pre-list dashboard it's modeled on: live-on-load (no 8:27am batch, no "7 failures this week" footer) · two-layer coverage (brief + memo chips) · n-gated cohort cells instead of confident small-n percents · close/list derived from snapshot history (export ratio proven unreliable) · relist-aware cumulative DOM · death attribution (with RYR-184) · the 10-10 and 14-day rules rendered on the same rows the audits enforce.

Sources: pos_raw.v_ntreis_team_listings + ntreis_orchard_listings snapshot history (4×/day since Feb 26) · seller_market.judgment_cases (brief coverage) · prelist memo ledger (memo coverage) · MM Weekly Pricing Dash (showings). Palette note: brand olive is muted by design; every colored mark carries a direct label and every metric has a table form — identity is never color alone. Mockup: REAL tags = queried 2026-07-17; ILLUSTRATIVE tags = the state once coverage ramps.